Difference between revisions of "Talk:Negative hypergeometric distribution"
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== Proof of the formula for the probability == | == Proof of the formula for the probability == | ||
− | The proof, given by Miller and Fridell, is easy. The outcome $ X=k $ requires that, just before, we have $m-1$ marked and $k$ unmarked, which has the probability | + | The proof, given by Miller and Fridell, is easy. The outcome $ X=k $ requires that, just before, we have $m-1$ marked and $k$ unmarked in a sample of size $m+k-1$, which has the probability |
\[ | \[ | ||
\frac{ {M \choose m-1}{N-M \choose k} } { {N \choose m+k-1} } | \frac{ {M \choose m-1}{N-M \choose k} } { {N \choose m+k-1} } | ||
\] | \] | ||
according to [[Hypergeometric distribution]]. This is multiplied by the probability of getting one of the remaining $M-m+1$ marked elements among $N-m-k+1$ remaining elements; | according to [[Hypergeometric distribution]]. This is multiplied by the probability of getting one of the remaining $M-m+1$ marked elements among $N-m-k+1$ remaining elements; | ||
− | \ | + | \begin{multline*} |
\frac{ {M \choose m-1}{N-M \choose k} } { {N \choose m+k-1} } | \frac{ {M \choose m-1}{N-M \choose k} } { {N \choose m+k-1} } | ||
− | \cdot \frac{ M-k+1 }{ N-m-k+1 } = | + | \cdot \frac{ M-m+1 }{ N-m-k+1 } = \\ |
− | \] | + | \frac{M!}{(m-1)!(M-m+1)!} \frac{(N-M)!}{k!(N-M-k)!} \frac{(m+k-1)!(N-m-k+1)!}{N!} |
− | ( | + | \cdot \frac{ M-m+1 }{ N-m-k+1 } = \\ |
+ | \frac{M!}{(m-1)!(M-m)!} \frac{(N-M)!}{k!(N-M-k)!} \frac{(m+k-1)!(N-m-k)!}{N!} = \\ | ||
+ | \frac{M!(N-M)!}{N!} \cdot \frac{(m+k-1)!}{(m-1)!k!} \cdot \frac{(N-m-k)!}{(M-m)!(N-M-k)!} = | ||
+ | \frac{ {k+m-1 \choose k}{N-m-k \choose M-m} } { {N \choose M} } \, . | ||
+ | \end{multline*} | ||
+ | Enjoy! [[User:Boris Tsirelson|Boris Tsirelson]] ([[User talk:Boris Tsirelson|talk]]) 09:31, 27 March 2015 (CET) | ||
+ | |||
+ | :Thanks! --[[User:Erel Segal|Erel Segal]] ([[User talk:Erel Segal|talk]]) 11:13, 27 March 2015 (CET) |
Latest revision as of 10:13, 27 March 2015
The PDF formula refers to the parameter n, which is undefined. This is probably a typo. --Erel Segal (talk) 15:15, 23 March 2015 (CET)
- Typo, indeed. It should be $N$, not $n$. Thank you. Would you like to fix it yourself? --Boris Tsirelson (talk) 18:08, 23 March 2015 (CET)
- The equation was an image I could not edit, so I replaced it with a latex equation - I hope I did this right. --Erel Segal (talk) 20:31, 24 March 2015 (CET)
- Yes, this is one of our problems; you could look at Help:HowTo EoM, or just see some new articles made in TeX. Anyway, I did it a bit nicer. Boris Tsirelson (talk) 08:17, 25 March 2015 (CET)
- Yes, this looks much nicer. While we are at it: I did not understand why this formula is correct. Can you please add an intuitive explanation? Also, I didn't understand the formula at the bottom, connecting the negative-hypergeometric with the hypergeometric. Can you explain this too? --Erel Segal (talk) 08:25, 25 March 2015 (CET)
- Wow... not now, maybe later. Boris Tsirelson (talk) 08:30, 25 March 2015 (CET)
- Yes, this looks much nicer. While we are at it: I did not understand why this formula is correct. Can you please add an intuitive explanation? Also, I didn't understand the formula at the bottom, connecting the negative-hypergeometric with the hypergeometric. Can you explain this too? --Erel Segal (talk) 08:25, 25 March 2015 (CET)
- Yes, this is one of our problems; you could look at Help:HowTo EoM, or just see some new articles made in TeX. Anyway, I did it a bit nicer. Boris Tsirelson (talk) 08:17, 25 March 2015 (CET)
- The equation was an image I could not edit, so I replaced it with a latex equation - I hope I did this right. --Erel Segal (talk) 20:31, 24 March 2015 (CET)
The PMF formula (*) is suspicious. If m<N, then k+m-N<k, so the top-left factor is zero! --Erel Segal (talk) 19:23, 25 March 2015 (CET)
- Some sources available:
- planetmath;
- N. Balakrishnan, V.B. Nevzorov, "A primer on statistical distributions", Wiley 2004 (see page 103);
- Shaughnessy;
- Mansuri
- Boris Tsirelson (talk) 20:45, 26 March 2015 (CET)
Hmmm... After rewriting the three formulas in the last three sources in terms of EoM I got, respectively, \[ \frac{ {k+m-1 \choose k}{N-m-k \choose M-m} } { {N \choose M} } \, ; \] \[ \frac{ {M \choose k-1}{N-M \choose m} } { {N \choose m+k-1} } \cdot \frac{ M-k+1 }{ N-m-k+1 } \; , \] \[ \frac{ {k+m-1 \choose k-1}{N-m-k \choose M-m} } { {N \choose M} } \, . \] I am puzzled. Boris Tsirelson (talk) 21:43, 26 March 2015 (CET)
In PlanetMath, the meaning of the parameters is only partially explained. But probably their $B$ and $W$ are our $M$ and $N-M$, and their $b$ and $x$ are our $m$ and $k$. If so, then their formula is identical to the formula from Balakrishnan and Nevzorov. At least, a hope to see two identical formulas!.. Boris Tsirelson (talk) 21:55, 26 March 2015 (CET)
Good news! Two more sources give the same as Balakrishnan and Nevzorov:
- G.K. Miller, S.L. Fridell, "A forgotten discrete distribution? Reviving the negative hypergeometric model", The American Statistician 2007 61:4, 347-350.
- E.F. Schuster, W.R. Sype, "On the negative hypergeometric distribution", Int. J. Math. Educ. Sci. Technol. 1987 18:3, 453-459.
Boris Tsirelson (talk) 22:36, 26 March 2015 (CET)
So, now I feel sure enough for correcting the article (even though I did not check the calculations myself). Thanks to Erel Segal for the good question. Boris Tsirelson (talk) 22:42, 26 March 2015 (CET)
- Thanks for sorting this out! --Erel Segal (talk) 05:46, 27 March 2015 (CET)
Proof of the formula for the probability
The proof, given by Miller and Fridell, is easy. The outcome $ X=k $ requires that, just before, we have $m-1$ marked and $k$ unmarked in a sample of size $m+k-1$, which has the probability \[ \frac{ {M \choose m-1}{N-M \choose k} } { {N \choose m+k-1} } \] according to Hypergeometric distribution. This is multiplied by the probability of getting one of the remaining $M-m+1$ marked elements among $N-m-k+1$ remaining elements; \begin{multline*} \frac{ {M \choose m-1}{N-M \choose k} } { {N \choose m+k-1} } \cdot \frac{ M-m+1 }{ N-m-k+1 } = \\ \frac{M!}{(m-1)!(M-m+1)!} \frac{(N-M)!}{k!(N-M-k)!} \frac{(m+k-1)!(N-m-k+1)!}{N!} \cdot \frac{ M-m+1 }{ N-m-k+1 } = \\ \frac{M!}{(m-1)!(M-m)!} \frac{(N-M)!}{k!(N-M-k)!} \frac{(m+k-1)!(N-m-k)!}{N!} = \\ \frac{M!(N-M)!}{N!} \cdot \frac{(m+k-1)!}{(m-1)!k!} \cdot \frac{(N-m-k)!}{(M-m)!(N-M-k)!} = \frac{ {k+m-1 \choose k}{N-m-k \choose M-m} } { {N \choose M} } \, . \end{multline*} Enjoy! Boris Tsirelson (talk) 09:31, 27 March 2015 (CET)
- Thanks! --Erel Segal (talk) 11:13, 27 March 2015 (CET)
Negative hypergeometric distribution. Encyclopedia of Mathematics. URL: http://encyclopediaofmath.org/index.php?title=Negative_hypergeometric_distribution&oldid=36376